Social uprisings have always started from bread.

In a few months we may find ourselves with skyrocketing food prices and a mass of unemployed who will not be able to buy them. A real social time bomb that should be defused and that instead the fiscal measures taken by Europe and Italy do not seem able to do it. What is happening in the raw materials sector, particularly agricultural ones, is a dynamic that will affect all the others, including oil, whose prices are particularly low today. Generally, when there are changes in trend, foodstuffs tend to anticipate economic cycles.

Groceries come from a decade of falling prices, in fact since the peak of March 31, 2008 the index has registered a decrease of 55%. The reduction in supply was also followed by a reduction in production capacity. At the end of Covid, I hope shortly, the market will have to deal with the recovery in consumption, linked to the return to normal after the lockdown, and above all for the stabilizing effect on the economy that fiscal and monetary stimuli will have. The plant of the support interventions reaches 5000 billion dollars. This will cause food prices to surge further in the coming months and lead to higher consumer prices. Decisions are slow in Europe and businesses are dying in the meantime. The longer it delays, the more the production and industrial capacity of the countries in greatest difficulty is reduced. If we continue not to give financial gasoline, at the reopening, in Italy there will be an extermination of small and medium-sized enterprises that will no longer reopen. And in Italy, resources are all aimed at supporting income. If this discourse becomes systemic when it reopens, the offer will not be able to keep up with demand. This phenomenon combined with the increase in raw material prices will really cause a very worrying macroeconomic scenario “, Soybean rice grain will cost more. The increase in the prices of wheat, rice, soybeans tomorrow could become dramatic We risk that power consumer purchasing, already compromised by job loss and reduced activity, is further undermined. We must be careful because all the social revolts have always started from bread “.

Covid-19 or Coronavirus or Sars Cov 2

 

Man has evolved thanks to a continuous war with other beings present in our earth system. With a continuous and painful selection caused by diseases and famines. Over time, we learned to gather in churches to ask for an end to the plague and to thank them for surviving.  Today, in front of Covid 19 we see the closed churches, the abjuration of all our past and future. The man who replaces himself, who surpasses and puts religion in the background. The decision to close the churches is very serious for the survival of religion. Very serious, for the survival of the human species, which stands in the way of natural selection, the rational choice of believing man to be able to decide for himself. A species that perhaps, taken by a delusion of omnipotence, has taken the path of extinction.

The art of not choosing

It is the worst humanitarian crisis of the 21st century, according to the UN. No, it’s not coronavirus. It is the war being fought in Syria around Idlib, a martyred city in the northwest, one of the last unfinished strongholds under the control of the Damascus regime. The rationality behind the conflict is chilling. For months, Russian aircraft have been helping the advance of Bashar el Assad rais forces in the region. The Moscow pilots together with the Syrian ones mercilessly bomb civilian targets such as markets, hospitals, refugee camps and roads because the chosen strategy is to depopulate the region – they are called war crimes, according to international law – and push millions of people to crush more and more north against the Turkish border.

Turkey, allied with the Islamists and Syrian rebels, would like a security belt close to the border to be spared from the advance, so that it is possible to somehow move the Syrian refugees now welcomed into the former Ottoman empire. But for now Russia doesn’t hear us. And Europe, now absent, will pay the consequences.